ChiefStats: Five stats to watch in the Chiefs’ game against the Chargers

on November 14 at 09:47 PM
Welcome to the first week of the regular season , as well as the first issue of “chiefStats.“ Each week we will weed out five topics and discuss the statistics surrounding them leading up to the game.I am hoping to offer unique content through the season that will only be discussed here. I am also excited to announce this article will be complemented with a video discussing one of the topics. I am excited for this new setup, and at the same time, any feedback is more than welcome.Now let’s get down to the five topics:1. Who is Philip Rivers’ Father?Fortunately for me, I made a video with images. So I can plop them in the article and discuss.So you’re telling me that Bob Sutton has basically turned Philip Rivers into Kansas City’s average year from Matt Cassel? For all the crap Chiefs fans have given Bob Sutton (some of it deserved), the Chiefs defense has done great against Rivers.So perhaps Bob Sutton is Rivers’ father...No. 2 Is Keenan Allen’s Presence Relevant?So we all know Keenan Allen has a checkered injury history. He has missed 27 games over the course of his career - that’s roughly one-third of his potential starts. The question is, does Allen’s presence on the field swing things in the Chargers’ favor?The Chargers have played terribly on offense without Allen against the Chiefs. 10 points per game is an embarrassment.If you look more closely at the numbers you’ll see that Keenan Allen boosts the number of wins for the Chargers, he boosts Rivers’ stats, and he boosts his team’s overall offense.So to answer the question, yes Keenan Allen is relevant in this game and I hope the Chiefs are prepared to stop him.No. 3 No Marcus Peters (Oh noooooeeesss)I get it, hot topic, but it’s in the past. I don’t like talking about the past, but I saw a number of Chiefs fans say the following on Twitter this week:The reason the Chiefs defense has done well against the Chargers is only due to Marcus Peters, nothing else.So I felt it was a valid question — Was Peters mostly to credit for the Chiefs defensive success against Rivers?For starters, Peters’ replacement — Kendall Fuller — actually graded out higher on Pro Football Focus than Peters in 2017. This means the individuals who watch countless hours of tape believe Fuller to be better than Peters.Because of Fuller’s presence, I believe not having Peters in this game is a wash. Let’s look at the numbers though...The difference between having Peters and not having Peters is night and day.With Peters on the field Rivers averages an astounding 1.7 interceptions per game. If you stretch that number for an entire season, that’s 27 interceptions a year!Also to note is the Chargers’ offense scores 10 less points per game with Peters on the field when compared to the Chiefs not having Peters on the field.So while I believe adding Fuller neutralizes the loss of Peters, looking at these numbers does have me slightly concerned.We all love the interceptions Peters was able to generate while in Kansas City, and I believe Peters is a better ball hawk than Fuller. However, I also believe Fuller is a better cover corner than Peters.I hate to say it, but at this point in time, I have no idea if Peters’ absence will mean anything for the Chiefs. We’re going to have to wait and see how this plays out, but I do believe the move from Peters to Fuller is a wash... so if that’s true shouldn’t the Chiefs defense play well?4. What’s up, Gus?Which Gus are we talking about? Well, that would be Gus Bradley, the Chargers’ defensive coordinator.In 2009 Bradley took over the defensive coordinator position for the Seattle Seahawks. While working as the Seahawks DC, Bradley gradually turned their defense into one of the best units in the entire NFL. Bradley was largely responsible for the construction of the Legion of Boom which won a Super Bowl in 2013.Before Bradley could be part of that Super Bowl team, he chose to take a head coaching position at Jacksonville. While at Jacksonville the team struggled to win games Cheap Tyreek Hill Jersey , but if you look at the improvement to the Jaguars secondary under Bradley, it’s hard not to see why he is considered one of the best defensive coaches in the NFL.Bradley converted a terrible Seahawks defense, and a bad Jaguars defense, into absolutely dominant defensive units. If you look at the Chargers’ progress with Bradley, you can see he’s doing the same again — assembling a very stout defense.The Chargers had great passing and overall defense in 2017. Needless to say, things won’t be easy for Patrick Mahomes on Sunday.However, even with the Chargers’ great success on defense, they were dead last in the NFL in yards per rushing attempt allowed. It could be the Chiefs decide to run the ball more often than usual on Sunday, and they have the personnel to do it.It could be Kareem Hunt and Spencer Ware saying, “Whats up, Gus?” all game long Sunday.5. Preseason MahomesMahomes had a great preseason, and the numbers agree with me.Mahomes’ completion percentage and yards per attempt in the preseason would have finished at first overall in 2017. Very impressive.Needless to say, if Mahomes can continue his preseason play into the Chargers game the Chiefs should win. It won’t be easy though, since he’s facing a tough Gus Bradley defense.I also think it’s unfair to expect Mahomes to average a quarterback rating at or above 103, but if he can have several games where he eclipses that mark the Chiefs will win most of them.I’m very interested to see how and if Mahomes carries his preseason success into the regular season.Patrick Mahomes Week 2 film review: something good and something bad This is part one of a three-part weekly film analysis on the performance of Patrick Mahomes.It was a truly monumental Sunday in the history of the Kansas City Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes surpassed great 2006 third-round pick quarterback Brodie Croyle on the all-time touchdown pass list. If Croyle’s career had gone the way he’d wanted it to, it’s very realistic that he would’ve started under center against the Steelers on Sunday. But it didn’t, and he wasn’t. Instead, he was just another guy that wasn’t “our guy.” A 34-year gap separated Chiefs first-round quarterbacks Todd Blackledge and Mahomes. So far, the wait has been well worth it.Mahomes has played unconscious to start his reign as the quarterback of the organization that desperately craved the moments they are experiencing right now. The six-touchdown pass performance felt like an exorcism of demons like Blackledge, Steve Bono, Croyle and Tyler Palko. No one in their wildest dreams thought this fan base would be richly rewarded in the first two weeks of the season.This is unprecedented.The second-year quarterback has thrown the most touchdown passes (10) in the first two games of a season ever. Mahomes has done nothing in this small sample size to indicate that his remarkably high ceiling should be lowered at all. In, I won’t say it. Let’s just leave it at this: Chiefs fans have more than plenty to be excited about.It wasn’t all perfect. There are still a few things to work on, but it was mostly just amazing. Here’s part one of the weekly Mahomes review.Something goodI’m doing everything I can to keep this play from getting lost in all the things we saw in Pittsburgh.This play is not remotely easy. For another quarterback, this would probably be his best play of the day. The Chiefs have two tight ends lined up attached to the offensive line and into the boundary. Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins are lined up to the field. Watkins motions into the boundary with the tight ends. The Chiefs run play action with one tight end staying in for a six-man protection.The Steelers are Cover 1, or man-free coverage. The action gets cornerback Artie Burns to bite. He’s late to get to Watkins, who is running a vertical route, so he sprints to catch up. Mahomes’ eyes get out of the fake and he sees Burns trailing and not looking at him.Mahomes wisely elects to throw a ball on Watkins’ back shoulder. He was early and decisive in delivering it. He delivered the ball with excellent anticipation because he knew the corner had no chance to make a play on the ball. The ball is placed well Allen Bailey Jersey , as Watkins is able to just adjust to the throw without having to slow down enough for Burns to contest it. He pulled him away from the defender.There was enough zip on the ball that no one came close to catching it but Watkins. It was a little low but didn’t affect the play at all. Watkins was able to get the yards that were there on the play. This isn’t even mentioning the fact that Mahomes threw it off his back foot. His ability to throw off platform allowed this kind of play to happen. It was such a quick-hitting play that he needed to throw it athletically. An all-around great play by the young signal caller.Something badThere really wasn’t that much to be disappointed in from the game two performance. This is about it.The Steelers are playing cover 0, straight man-to-man coverage with no safety. With Burns chasing Hill across the formation, Mahomes knows they’re in man coverage. They will send six rushers on this play. After the (copyright pending) joystick motion by Hill, the Chiefs have him, Travis Kelce and Kareem Hunt lined up into the boundary. Mahomes wants to work that side of the play. The Chiefs are in a five-man protection.I think he should have slid the protection to the field (he should’ve had the offensive line account for No. 51 Jon Bostic, who will blitz and force Mitchell Schwartz to take, leaving an unaccounted for T.J. Watt). If the Steelers send one unaccounted defender to his left, then he is hot (he has to beat the blitz with a throw). If he had been hot to the boundary, then he has Hill, Kelce and Hunt one on one. Had he slid the protection to the field, Mahomes would’ve seen Kelce uncovered for a touchdown.Mahomes keeps the protection lined up into the boundary. On the snap, Mahomes looks like he peeks over there to the field, but I’m not sure he saw the free rushing EDGE player, who eventually brings him to the ground. He would’ve benefited from sliding the protection and possibly didn’t feel the pressure to his front side. Those two things aren’t great, but, in addition, the throw wasn’t where you would like it either.Quarterbacks have aiming points in the end zone. If you’re throwing to the front line of the end zone, you want the ball to be low so that nothing gets tipped and intercepted. If you’re throwing to the back line, you want the ball to be high so that it falls out the back of the end zone if it gets tipped. Mahomes delivers a ball high on the front line of the end zone. Luckily there wasn’t someone there to catch his overthrow.To be fair to Mahomes, I think this was a broken play by Kelce. I don't think that was the route he was supposed to run. He ran to space and when he realized he was unguarded, he went for the end zone. He could have been anticipating Kelce continuing towards the back of the end zone, but regardless, the play shouldn't have happened even if we give Mahomes the benefit of the doubt on that piece of it. Quarterback anecdotesEvery week I’m going to add a quick note about something I’ve picked up about the quarterback position through my time learning and playing the game.Things won’t always go right when you’re up against a 40-second clock. Let’s say there’s a play where the call gets in late and it has pre-snap shifts and motions. If time is running out, quarterbacks will yell for skill players to line up where they’re supposed to be after the shifts and motions, aborting any pre-snap movement to get the play off in time.

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